The false narrative of increasing weather-related disasters:
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Mike Edwards
@open_services
Mike is retired after a career in software engineering. Mike has a PhD in Elementary Particle Physics from Birmingham University.
Hampshire, EnglandJoined March 2011
Mike Edwards’s Tweets
Peer review: not the guarantee of quality that some people think it is:
Your occasional reminder that Green campaigners think that we should replace the parts of our energy supply that actually work (gas in dark blue, nuclear in light brown) with more of the parts that don’t (wind in green and solar in yellow). So we’re burning coal again.
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"Winter in summer" for south east Australia - Antarctic cold blast strikes this week. Frost and snow for higher elevations.
Where NetZero is taking us all:
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BREAKING: UK wholesale day-ahead electricity prices surge to a **record high** as cold, dry and calm weather cripples wind production and sends demand soaring.
On the EPEX platform, UK baseload for Monday clears at £674 per MWh, while evening peakload clears >£2,000 per MWh
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A reminder of just how unreliable "renewables" turn out to be. And we want more of this stuff???
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UK is waking up to sub-zero temperatures and a total failure of renewables (green bit). Hopefully there is still enough power generation from nuclear, gas & coal & money for imports to avoid power cuts.
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Wind below coal in UK generation. Yet again.
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Reject Net Zero, Embrace Energy Freedom
"Net zero by 2050" policies would be apocalyptically destructive if fully implemented and *have already been catastrophically destructive* when barely implemented.
They should be totally rejected in favor of energy freedom policies.
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2022 N. Hemisphere hurricanes/typhoons - total energy (ACE) only 67% of average - no "increased storminess" here: tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index
Not difficult to understand why the world is such a mess with so-called leaders from the UN spewing apocalyptic nonsense. These political goals 1.5C have become completely detached from the issue of human well being and development.
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"The 1.5C goal is on life support and the machines are rattling. We're getting close to that point of no return. Humanity has a choice: cooperate or perish It is either a climate solidarity pact or a collective suicide pact."
@antonioguterres #COP27
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Note the relentless cooling of both the "warm" times and the "cold" times - and the ever longer "cold" times. This is what an icehouse Earth looks like.
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If you really care about climate change, it's the following graph that should really worry you. Earth over the last ~5M years - down is "more ice" = "colder". From Lisiecki & Raymo 2005:
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Let's put this right: Britain faces a “significant risk” of gas shortages this winter because of 20 years of anti-coal, anti-gas, anti-nuclear and anti-shale gas policies.
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Britain faces a “significant risk” of gas shortages this winter because of Russia’s war in Ukraine and undersupply in Europe, the energy regulator Ofgem has said
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Excellent book on Climate and climate change here:
judithcurry.com/wp-content/upl
Has one of the best expositions of Milankovitch theory of ice ages that I've read.
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My latest reading:
kbimages1-a.akamaihd.net/1b9f740b-0d0d-
This is the reality of CfD contracts - the windfarm owners don't have to honour them. Result: high prices for us.
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I warned the government this would happen. The penalty for walking away from a contract for difference if electricity prices rise is minimal. So bidding low simply cons the government.
This is the biggest "windfalll" of all yet not a peep from the supporters of a windfall tax. twitter.com/LorraineAllans…
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Patrick Blower on #EnergyCrisis #CostOfLivingCrisis #energybills #WorkFromHome #EnergyCrisis - political cartoon gallery in London original-political-cartoon.com
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What Net Zero by 2050 means in reality.
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Replying to @Peters_Glen
Equivalent to installing 1 nuclear power station, or 1500 wind turbines, everyday for the next 10,000 days.
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New cartoon! Ed Davey says he is actually proud of helping cause an energy crisis and bankrupting Britain. What a plonker!
The Wall Street Journal article: dailysceptic.org/2022/08/27/wal via &
Ed Davey: telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/
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Some of the facts about flooding and climate change, rather than the usual misinformation:
Solar farms and rewilding could could hit Britain’s food security, warns Sir Robert Goodwill, chairman of the Common's environment committee, as solar farms take hundreds of acres of the best agricultural land out of production.
#CostOfNetZero
Read more: telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/
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“Complacency and green virtue-signalling have wreaked havoc with our energy supplies… We need to start drilling for more North Sea gas and start fracking for shale gas across the UK.”
#CostOfNetZero
Read more: spiked-online.com/2022/08/16/why
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1921 was a dry 'un...
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Rivers and Lakes were so abnormally low in 1921 that they turned into natural wild gardens…
Finally, it's raining here in South Hampshire - I feel like getting out there and doing a rain dance ;-). Any suggested good music for this??
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Proms 2022 tonite - Elgar Symphony #1 and Vaughan Williams Tuba Concerto! #RVW150
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This graph is very stark.
The argument that US gas prices have increased really needs to be put in context. At no point in the past 12 months have US gas price exceeded UK gas prices.
At peak, UK gas was more than 14 times the cost of US gas.
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"Why is Heathrow always so hot?" asks the BBC today. Then says the weather station is sited to "minimize influence of man-made surfaces". Google satellite shows it smack next to tarmac expanse of northern perimeter road! Let alone London heat island...
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"The Holocene thermal maximum (HTM) was reached after 8 ka with land temperatures estimated to be 3 °C higher than the 1961-1990 reference" - from a 2009 paper on Iceland climate and glaciers:
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“We have rich pockets of gas trapped in rocks beneath Central Scotland, Yorkshire, Lancashire and Sussex. We have as good a claim as any country to have invented civil nuclear power. Yet, incredibly, we face blackouts and energy rationing.”
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Mendelssohn Violin Concerto & Mahler 4th Symphony live at the Proms tonite! Mmm:
House prices and rents in UK are extortionate. "evidence .. shows that the severity of land use planning restrictions is a key determinant of housing costs" (IEA)
Time to trash our restrictive planning laws and get building.
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18,467 signatures this morning.
Only 2800 more needed PER DAY to make 100k by the deadline.
If you agree, pse retweet and copy to raise the profile of this parliamentary petition.
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Idiocy writ large. These people are scientifically illerate and insane at the same time. Utterly incredible.
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What a piece of insanity. Best agricultural land trashed by unreliable solar power - in a country that imports 40% of its food. #ClimateDelusion
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1/4 This map shows the reality of solar development in #lincolnshire. Here 4 different proposals represent a potential #land loss of 10,000 acres. This will transform #landscapes #communities and potentially destroy #tenantfarms in the process. @CharlesAnyan @tenantfarmers
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Heatwave: "end of human life"
Standard climate scare
Yet simply untrue
Yes, heatwaves kill (stay cool w/AC+follow advice)
But for Spain
1) cold kills 6x more than heat
2) better adaptation means heat deaths 𝗱𝗲𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲
Globally:
cold 9x more deadly
total heat+cold⬇️
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This is the reality of NetZero - job losses as high energy prices chase industries abroad. #ClimateDelusion
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Indian conglomerate Tata Group has threatened to shut Port Talbot steel works unless it is given a £1.5bn government lifeline to help reduce carbon emissions. Tata UK Steel employs nearly 8,000 people in Britain.
#CostOfNetZero
telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/
telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/
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Utterly insane to cover good agricultural land with solar farms. We already import 40% of our food in the UK!
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Given the worldwide grain crisis, it's obvious we need to keep Grade 1, 2, and 3 farmland in good agricultural use.
This weekend I met with residents at Hatton opposing the solar farm application there — I support their campaign.
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The results are in for Hywind, the UK's first floating windfarm. Its costs are around £225/MWh, more than four times the long-term cost of gas-fired power. It sells power for £92/MWh, so it is astonishingly uneconomic. But it then gets £215/MWh in subsidy.
#RipOffRenewables
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It's time to ignore the heatwave hysteria and look instead at empirical data and reality.
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Since the 1970s and 1980s Spain has seen a dramatic decrease in wildfires even as forested land area increased by ~50%, and even as climate change has increased risk
Why?
Democracy
Fascinating study:
link.springer.com/article/10.100
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