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College Park, MD
Joined June 2012

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  1. Experimental Week 3-4 outlooks are live! The first one was just released:

  2. Latest Niño 3.4 value jumped to +2.3 from the weekly OI data. Our big seasonal forecast release is on Thursday.

  3. Experimental Weeks 3/4 forecasts issued weekly will start next Friday, 9/18!

  4. Latest ENSO discussion details the ongoing strong El Niño:

  5. There are important differences between now and 1997, especially the anomalous east-west SST gradient, which is much weaker now.

  6. Latest weekly Niño 3.4 anomaly value is up to +2.0C, on pace with the 1997 event.

  7. Latest SST constructed analog forecast continues with +PNA signature across North America for upcoming winter.

  8. Hurricane update released today: even better odds of a below-average season.

  9. Check out the latest seasonal forecasts released this morning: Here's winter

  10. El Niño is here to stay; favoring a strong event. Updated seasonal forecasts to be released a week from today.

  11. The latest seasonal forecast suite was released today. ENSO is a major factor in the forecast.

  12. Lowest severe to exceptional (D2-D4) drought coverage in over 4 years.

  13. We released the 2015 Hurricane Season Outlook Yesterday

  14. Latest El Niño diagnostic discussion says that there is an 80% chance that El Niño will continue into the winter

  15. 8-14 Day 500MB Height Outlook Made 11/13/2014 -

  16. 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook Made 11/13/2014 -

  17. 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook Made 11/13/2014 -

  18. Nov 13

    Medium Range Discussion Made 11/13/2014 -

    Translated from French by

  19. 6-10 Day 500MB Height Outlook Made 11/13/2014 -

  20. 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook Made 11/13/2014 -

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