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forecasting

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cherfongfoo
cherfongfoo commented Oct 12, 2020
from fbprophet.serialize import model_to_json, model_from_json
with open("serialized_model.json", "r") as fin:
    fb_model = model_from_json(json.load(fin))

df_cv = cross_validation(fb_model, ............)

It produces this error,

File "C:\Users\XXXXX\.conda\envs\fbprophet7\lib\site-packages\fbprophet\diagnostics.py", line 295, in prophet_copy
    stan_backend=m.st
sktime
aiwalter
aiwalter commented Dec 15, 2020

Is your feature request related to a problem? Please describe.
Plotting confidence intervalls with the current plot function from sktime.utils.plotting import plot_series is not well suitable in case all lines are very close, see picture.

image

**Describe the solution you'd

gluon-ts
AaronSpieler
AaronSpieler commented Aug 4, 2020

Description

  • currently we have DEFAULT_SEASONALITIES = {"H": 24, "D": 1, "W": 1, "M": 12, "B": 5}
  • however, having a seasonality of 1 has no real benefit to my knowledge (please correct me if I'm mistaken)
    • I base my knowledge on NBEATSEstimator and Naive2Predictor
  • therefore I suggest seasonality of 7 for Daily data "D"
    • to me this makes sense since this would capture the se

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