Context Matters

Kyle Pitts is on a roll with near 80% routes-per-pass play and over 25% targets-per-route in last three games. Tight ends to accomplish that in a season since 2011: Travis Kelce 2018, 2020: TE1, TE1 Darren Waller 2019, 2020: TE2, TE2 Zach Ertz 2018: TE2 George Kittle 2018: TE3

Allison Russell is MFn bad ass.

Gonna block my first account ever today.

I haven't been a huge Laviska Shenault supporter this season, but things have changed over the last two games. 82% of routes have come outside — meaning he isn't 100% dependent on 11 personnel anymore. He has headroom to grow now. Season-high 83% routes/dropback Week 6.

Robby Anderson has a 24% target share over last three games. Carolina offense condensing to D.J. Moore and Anderson — which makes sense. Drops and uncatchable targets will fade. Marshall left last week early with a concussion, but trend started before that. Big games coming.

DeAndre Hopkins is a great buy-low candidate. Cardinals have played 0% of snaps trailing by four or more over last three games - won't last forever. Last three weeks since recovering from rib injury has 23% of targets. Next closest is 7% behind. #3 WR PFF SOS rest of season.

Tyler Higbee is due for a blowup game. I can't tell you when it will happen and can't guarantee that he will duplicate it, but his routes-per-dropback (79%) are great and ready to support a boom week. The forgotten man until he's not.

Calvin Ridley ranks ninth in targets-per-route. Everything about his utilization and historical production screams buy-now before it is too late. Falcons' offense quietly improving. Third in plays & dropbacks last two games. ADOTs at 11.5 and 8.0 (around 5 first three games).

Do not sell low on Darren Waller, be the one buying low. The only two tight ends in the NFL over 85% routes-per-pass play and 20% targets-per-route are Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. That is the list.

Most backs without passing-down roles struggle in fantasy football. Derrick Henry is one exception. The Titans remain committed to running no matter the game situation Titans run-rate vs. NFL average: Trailing by four or more: +6% Within three: +8% Leading by four or more: +4%

The Buccaneers throw the ball more than the NFL average in every game script: Trailing by four or more: +16% Within three points: +5% Leading by four or more: +14% 12.5-point favorites versus Bears and it doesn't matter for Tom Brady. He will still throw plenty.

In honor of National Tight Ends Day, here are the players at 80% routes-per-pass play and near/above 20% targets-per-route (71% top-six hit rate since 2011) Travis Kelce Darren Waller Mark Andrews Kyle Pitts T.J. Hockenson Noah Fant Coming Soon: Dallas Goedert